McConnell and Schumer Finally Agree On Ground Rules

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said today that he would bring a budget resolution to the Senate floor “as soon as next week.”  This would be the starting point for using reconciliation to pass stimulus in the Senate with a simple majority. 

However, Republicans are criticizing using reconciliation to pass stimulus measures without them.  Republican Senator Rob Portman of Ohio said, “If the House decides to go ahead with the reconciliation approach, which is a way to get around working with Republicans, I think that would be not just a big mistake at this stage at the start of this administration, but irresponsible given what’s happened with the COVID-19 package.

We’re willing to work with them, and we said that on Sunday, we’re willing to sit down and work out again, a proposal that is bipartisan, that can be passed by both chambers, that helps to expand on what we just passed.”  And Republican Senator Mitt Romney of Utah said, “I think really it’s going to be the White House and the Democrats’ call as to whether they want to work with a bipartisan team to improve the legislation or whether they want to push through reconciliation, a bill which [comes] with only one party participating.” 

While Joe Manchin, of course, Democratic Senator from West Virginia, was bipartisan in his language, “We’re all just working to get a pathway forward.  We want to make sure it’s productive and bring everybody together.” 

We know that Joe Manchin is opposed to getting rid of the legislative filibuster, and reportedly Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said that Democratic Senator Krysten Sinema of Arizona said that she committed to him “that under no circumstances” would she vote to eliminate the filibuster. 

That’s super interesting to me.  We have McConnell kind of going around Schumer’s back to basically get this kind of commitment from a junior senator, what do you think about that? 

Sinema is known as a fairly conservative Democrat, and I honestly don’t think she’s alone in opposing getting rid of the legislative filibuster.  Basically to do that, Democrats would need their whole party on board, and with both Manchin and Sinema saying they’re not on board with that, I feel that’s an empty threat. 

And, lo and behold, with the Sinema confirmation, today McConnell relented on his demand that Senate Democrats formally commit to retaining the legislative filibuster.  So the committee ratios and assignments and all those things we discussed yesterday can now move forward, yay, we can actually get stuff done now in the Senate. 

Today Chuck Schumer said on the Senate Floor, “I am glad the Republican leader finally relented and we can move forward now to organize the Senate, set up committees chairs and ranking members, and a process for moving bills and nominees to the floor from committees with an evenly divided number of members.  — It’s evenly divided because the Senate is split fifty-fifty — I’m glad we’re finally able to get the Senate up and running.

My only regret is that it took so long.”  The text of this power-sharing agreement has not yet been released, but McConnell said it would look something like the agreement from Two Thousand and One which is the last time the Senate was split fifty-fifty. 

So we may actually get some legislation done in the Senate now, Janet Yellen was confirmed last night as Treasury Secretary and Antony Blinken was confirmed today as Secretary of State, obviously Biden’s first priority for Congress is to pass his one-point-nine-trillion-dollar stimulus relief bill, but honestly folks, we don’t know how hard Democrats are going to play on this, I think they know that they won’t be able to get a simple majority on lots of the issues in Biden’s plan, maybe some, maybe even the fourteen hundred dollar slash two thousand dollar stimulus checks if they make them more targeted — there was a new report that came out today basically claiming that cutting off the stimulus checks at a seventy-five-thousand-dollar income threshold may be smart — and frankly if Biden and the Dems are willing to make those fourteen hundred dollar slash two thousand dollar stimulus checks more targeted, they can get a simple majority on that through reconciliation, but the devil is of course in the details, how targeted to they want to get?

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    スティックペイ 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
    ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
    仮想通貨 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
    銀行送金 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
    | コニベット出金方法
    出金方法 最低 |最高出金
    アイウォレット 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    スティックぺイ 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    仮想通貨 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    銀行送金 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし

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  24. 日本にオンラインカジノおすすめランキング2024年最新版

    2024おすすめのオンラインカジノ
    オンラインカジノはパソコンでしか遊べないというのは、もう一昔前の話。現在はスマホやタブレットなどのモバイル端末からも、パソコンと変わらないクオリティでオンラインカジノを当たり前に楽しむことができるようになりました。
    数あるモバイルカジノの中で、当サイトが厳選したトップ5カジノはこちら。

    オンラインカジノおすすめ: コニベット(Konibet)
    コニベットといえば、キャッシュバックや毎日もらえるリベートボーナスなど豪華ボーナスが満載!それに加えて低い出金条件も見どころです。さらにVIPレベルごとの還元率の高さも業界内で突出している点や、出金速度の速さなどトータルバランスの良さからもハイローラーの方にも好まれています。
    カスタマーサポートは365日24時間稼働しているので、初心者の方にも安心してご利用いただけます。
    さらに【業界初のオンラインポーカー】を導入!毎日トーナメントも開催されているので、早速参加しちゃいましょう!

    RTP(還元率)公開や、入出金対応がスムーズで初心者向き
    2000種類以上の豊富なゲーム数を誇り、スロットゲーム多数!
    今なら$20の入金不要ボーナスと最大$650還元ボーナス!
    8種類以上のライブカジノプロバイダー
    業界初オンラインポーカーあり,日本利用者数No.1の安心のオンラインカジノメディア!
    おすすめポイント
    コニベットは、その豊富なボーナスと高還元率、そして安心のキャッシュバック制度で知られています。まず、新規登録者には入金不要の$20ボーナスが提供され、さらに初回入金時には最大$650の還元ボーナスが得られます。これらのキャンペーンはプレイヤーにとって大きな魅力となっています。

    また、コニベットの特徴的な点は、VIP制度です。一度ロイヤルクラブになると、降格がなく、スロットリベートが1.5%という驚異の還元率を享受できます。これは他のオンラインカジノと比較しても非常に高い還元率です。さらに、常時週間損失キャッシュバックも行っているため、不運で負けてしまった場合でも取り返すチャンスがあります。これらの特徴から、コニベットはプレイヤーにとって非常に魅力的なオンラインカジノと言えるでしょう。

    コニベット 無料会員登録をする

    | コニベットのボーナス
    コニベットは、新規登録者向けに20ドルの入金不要ボーナスを用意しています
    コニベットカジノでは、限定で初回入金後に残高が1ドル未満になった場合、入金額の50%(最高500ドル)がキャッシュバックされる。キャッシュバック額に出金条件はないため、獲得後にすぐ出金することも可能です。

    | コニベットの入金方法
    入金方法 最低 / 最高入金
    マスターカード 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $6,000
    ジェイシービー 最低 : $20/ 最高 : $6,000
    アメックス 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $6,000
    アイウォレット 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
    スティックペイ 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
    ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
    仮想通貨 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $100,000
    銀行送金 最低 : $20 / 最高 : $10,000
    | コニベット出金方法
    出金方法 最低 |最高出金
    アイウォレット 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    スティックぺイ 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    ヴィーナスポイント 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    仮想通貨 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし
    銀行送金 最低 : $40 / 最高 : なし

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  26. 台灣線上娛樂城的規模正迅速增長,新的娛樂場所不斷開張。為了吸引玩家,這些場所提供了各種吸引人的優惠和贈品。每家娛樂城都致力於提供卓越的服務,務求讓客人享受最佳的遊戲體驗。

    2024年網友推薦最多的線上娛樂城:No.1富遊娛樂城、No.2 BET365、No.3 DG娛樂城、No.4 九州娛樂城、No.5 亞博娛樂城,以下來介紹這幾間娛樂城網友對他們的真實評價及娛樂城推薦。

    2024台灣娛樂城排名
    排名 娛樂城 體驗金(流水) 首儲優惠(流水) 入金速度 出金速度 推薦指數
    1 富遊娛樂城 168元(1倍) 送1000(1倍) 15秒 3-5分鐘 ★★★★★
    2 1XBET中文版 168元(1倍) 送1000(1倍) 15秒 3-5分鐘 ★★★★☆
    3 Bet365中文 168元(1倍) 送1000(1倍) 15秒 3-5分鐘 ★★★★☆
    4 DG娛樂城 168元(1倍) 送1000(1倍) 15秒 5-10分鐘 ★★★★☆
    5 九州娛樂城 168元(1倍) 送500(1倍) 15秒 5-10分鐘 ★★★★☆
    6 亞博娛樂城 168元(1倍) 送1000(1倍) 15秒 3-10分鐘 ★★★☆☆
    7 寶格綠娛樂城 199元(1倍) 送1000(25倍) 15秒 3-5分鐘 ★★★☆☆
    8 王者娛樂城 300元(15倍) 送1000(15倍) 90秒 5-30分鐘 ★★★☆☆
    9 FA8娛樂城 200元(40倍) 送1000(15倍) 90秒 5-10分鐘 ★★★☆☆
    10 AF娛樂城 288元(40倍) 送1000(1倍) 60秒 5-30分鐘 ★★★☆☆
    2024台灣娛樂城排名,10間娛樂城推薦
    No.1 富遊娛樂城
    富遊娛樂城推薦指數:★★★★★(5/5)

    富遊娛樂城介面 / 2024娛樂城NO.1
    RG富遊官網
    富遊娛樂城是成立於2019年的一家獲得數百萬玩家註冊的線上博彩品牌,持有博彩行業市場的合法運營許可。該公司受到歐洲馬爾他(MGA)、菲律賓(PAGCOR)以及英屬維爾京群島(BVI)的授權和監管,展示了其雄厚的企業實力與合法性。

    富遊娛樂城致力於提供豐富多樣的遊戲選項和全天候的會員服務,不斷追求卓越,確保遊戲的公平性。公司運用先進的加密技術及嚴格的安全管理體系,保障玩家資金的安全。此外,為了提升手機用戶的使用體驗,富遊娛樂城還開發了專屬APP,兼容安卓(Android)及IOS系統,以達到業界最佳的穩定性水平。

    在資金存提方面,富遊娛樂城採用第三方金流服務,進一步保障玩家的資金安全,贏得了玩家的信賴與支持。這使得每位玩家都能在此放心享受遊戲樂趣,無需擔心後顧之憂。

    富遊娛樂城簡介
    娛樂城網路評價:5分
    娛樂城入金速度:15秒
    娛樂城出金速度:5分鐘
    娛樂城體驗金:168元
    娛樂城優惠:
    首儲1000送1000
    好友禮金無上限
    新會禮遇
    舊會員回饋
    娛樂城遊戲:體育、真人、電競、彩票、電子、棋牌、捕魚
    富遊娛樂城推薦要點
    新手首推:富遊娛樂城,2024受網友好評,除了打造針對新手的各種優惠活動,還有各種遊戲的豐富教學。
    首儲再贈送:首儲1000元,立即在獲得1000元獎金,而且只需要1倍流水,對新手而言相當友好。
    免費遊戲體驗:新進玩家享有免費體驗金,讓您暢玩娛樂城內的任何遊戲。
    優惠多元:活動頻繁且豐富,流水要求低,對各玩家可說是相當友善。
    玩家首選:遊戲多樣,服務優質,是新手與老手的最佳賭場選擇。
    富遊娛樂城優缺點整合
    優點 缺點
    • 台灣註冊人數NO.1線上賭場
    • 首儲1000贈1000只需一倍流水
    • 擁有體驗金免費體驗賭場
    • 網紅部落客推薦保證出金線上娛樂城 • 需透過客服申請體驗金
    富遊娛樂城優缺點整合表格
    富遊娛樂城存取款方式
    存款方式 取款方式
    • 提供四大超商(全家、7-11、萊爾富、ok超商)
    • 虛擬貨幣ustd存款
    • 銀行轉帳(各大銀行皆可) • 現金1:1出金
    • 網站內申請提款及可匯款至綁定帳戶
    富遊娛樂城存取款方式表格
    富遊娛樂城優惠活動
    優惠 獎金贈點 流水要求
    免費體驗金 $168 1倍 (儲值後) /36倍 (未儲值)
    首儲贈點 $1000 1倍流水
    返水活動 0.3% – 0.7% 無流水限制
    簽到禮金 $666 20倍流水
    好友介紹金 $688 1倍流水
    回歸禮金 $500 1倍流水
    富遊娛樂城優惠活動表格
    專屬富遊VIP特權
    黃金 黃金 鉑金 金鑽 大神
    升級流水 300w 600w 1800w 3600w
    保級流水 50w 100w 300w 600w
    升級紅利 $688 $1080 $3888 $8888
    每週紅包 $188 $288 $988 $2388
    生日禮金 $688 $1080 $3888 $8888
    反水 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7%
    專屬富遊VIP特權表格
    娛樂城評價
    總體來看,富遊娛樂城對於玩家來講是一個非常不錯的選擇,有眾多的遊戲能讓玩家做選擇,還有各種優惠活動以及低流水要求等等,都讓玩家贏錢的機率大大的提升了不少,除了體驗遊戲中帶來的樂趣外還可以享受到贏錢的快感,還在等什麼趕快點擊下方連結,立即遊玩!

  27. 2024全新上線❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ – ATG賽特玩法說明介紹

    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱是由ATG電子獨家開發的古埃及風格線上老虎機,在傳說中戰神賽特是「力量之神」與奈芙蒂斯女神結成連理,共同守護古埃及的奇幻秘寶,只有被選中的冒險者才能進入探險。

    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ – ATG賽特介紹
    2024最新老虎機【戰神塞特】- ATG電子 X 富遊娛樂城
    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ – ATG電子
    線上老虎機系統 : ATG電子
    發行年分 : 2024年1月
    最大倍數 : 51000倍
    返還率 : 95.89%
    支付方式 : 全盤倍數、消除掉落
    最低投注金額 : 0.4元
    最高投注金額 : 2000元
    可否選台 : 是
    可選台台數 : 350台
    免費遊戲 : 選轉觸發+購買特色
    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 賠率說明
    戰神塞特老虎機賠率算法非常簡單,玩家們只需要不斷的轉動老虎機,成功消除物件即可贏分,得分賠率依賠率表計算。

    當盤面上沒有物件可以消除時,倍數符號將會相加形成總倍數!該次旋轉的總贏分即為 : 贏分 X 總倍數。

    積分方式如下 :

    贏分=(單次押注額/20) X 物件賠率

    EX : 單次押注額為1,盤面獲得12個戰神賽特倍數符號法老魔眼

    贏分= (1/20) X 1000=50
    以下為各個得分符號數量之獎金賠率 :

    得分符號 獎金倍數 得分符號 獎金倍數
    戰神賽特倍數符號聖甲蟲 6 2000
    5 100
    4 60 戰神賽特倍數符號黃寶石 12+ 200
    10-11 30
    8-9 20
    戰神賽特倍數符號荷魯斯之眼 12+ 1000
    10-11 500
    8-9 200 戰神賽特倍數符號紅寶石 12+ 160
    10-11 24
    8-9 16
    戰神賽特倍數符號眼鏡蛇 12+ 500
    10-11 200
    8-9 50 戰神賽特倍數符號紫鑽石 12+ 100
    10-11 20
    8-9 10
    戰神賽特倍數符號神箭 12+ 300
    10-11 100
    8-9 40 戰神賽特倍數符號藍寶石 12+ 80
    10-11 18
    8-9 8
    戰神賽特倍數符號屠鐮刀 12+ 240
    10-11 40
    8-9 30 戰神賽特倍數符號綠寶石 12+ 40
    10-11 15
    8-9 5
    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 賠率說明(橘色數值為獲得數量、黑色數值為得分賠率)
    ATG賽特 – 特色說明
    ATG賽特 – 倍數符號獎金加乘
    玩家們在看到盤面上出現倍數符號時,務必把握機會加速轉動ATG賽特老虎機,倍數符號會隨機出現2到500倍的隨機倍數。

    當盤面無法在消除時,這些倍數總和會相加,乘上當時累積之獎金,即為最後得分總額。

    倍數符號會出現在主遊戲和免費遊戲當中,玩家們千萬別錯過這個可以瞬間將得獎金額拉高的好機會!

    ATG賽特 – 倍數符號獎金加乘
    ATG賽特 – 倍數符號圖示
    ATG賽特 – 進入神秘金字塔開啟免費遊戲
    戰神賽特倍數符號聖甲蟲
    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 免費遊戲符號
    在古埃及神話中,聖甲蟲又稱為「死亡之蟲」,它被當成了天球及重生的象徵,守護古埃及的奇幻秘寶。

    當玩家在盤面上,看見越來越多的聖甲蟲時,千萬不要膽怯,只需在牌面上斬殺4~6個ATG賽特免費遊戲符號,就可以進入15場免費遊戲!

    在免費遊戲中若轉出3~6個聖甲蟲免費遊戲符號,可額外獲得5次免費遊戲,最高可達100次。

    當玩家的累積贏分且盤面有倍數物件時,盤面上的所有倍數將會加入總倍數!

    ATG賽特 – 選台模式贏在起跑線
    為避免神聖的寶物被盜墓者奪走,富有智慧的法老王將金子塔內佈滿迷宮,有的設滿機關讓盜墓者寸步難行,有的暗藏機關可以直接前往存放神秘寶物的暗房。

    ATG賽特老虎機設有350個機檯供玩家選擇,這是連魔龍老虎機、忍老虎機都給不出的機台數量,為的就是讓玩家,可以隨時進入神秘的古埃及的寶藏聖域,挖掘長眠已久的神祕寶藏。

    【戰神塞特老虎機】選台模式
    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 選台模式
    ATG賽特 – 購買免費遊戲挖掘秘寶
    玩家們可以使用當前投注額的100倍購買免費遊戲!進入免費遊戲再也不是虛幻。獎勵與一般遊戲相同,且購買後遊戲將自動開始,直到場次和獎金發放完畢為止。

    有購買免費遊戲需求的玩家們,立即點擊「開始」,啟動神秘金字塔裡的古埃及祕寶吧!

    【戰神塞特老虎機】購買特色
    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 購買特色

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    5 100
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    10-11 30
    8-9 20
    戰神賽特倍數符號荷魯斯之眼 12+ 1000
    10-11 500
    8-9 200 戰神賽特倍數符號紅寶石 12+ 160
    10-11 24
    8-9 16
    戰神賽特倍數符號眼鏡蛇 12+ 500
    10-11 200
    8-9 50 戰神賽特倍數符號紫鑽石 12+ 100
    10-11 20
    8-9 10
    戰神賽特倍數符號神箭 12+ 300
    10-11 100
    8-9 40 戰神賽特倍數符號藍寶石 12+ 80
    10-11 18
    8-9 8
    戰神賽特倍數符號屠鐮刀 12+ 240
    10-11 40
    8-9 30 戰神賽特倍數符號綠寶石 12+ 40
    10-11 15
    8-9 5
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    ❰戰神賽特老虎機❱ 選台模式
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  77. 2024娛樂城的創新趨勢

    隨著2024年的到來,娛樂城業界正經歷著一場革命性的變遷。這一年,娛樂城不僅僅是賭博和娛樂的代名詞,更成為了科技創新和用戶體驗的集大成者。

    首先,2024年的娛樂城極大地融合了最新的技術。增強現實(AR)和虛擬現實(VR)技術的引入,為玩家提供了沉浸式的賭博體驗。這種全新的遊戲方式不僅帶來視覺上的震撼,還為玩家創造了一種置身於真實賭場的感覺,而實際上他們可能只是坐在家中的沙發上。

    其次,人工智能(AI)在娛樂城中的應用也達到了新高度。AI技術不僅用於增強遊戲的公平性和透明度,還在個性化玩家體驗方面發揮著重要作用。從個性化遊戲推薦到智能客服,AI的應用使得娛樂城更能滿足玩家的個別需求。

    此外,線上娛樂城的安全性和隱私保護也獲得了顯著加強。隨著技術的進步,更加先進的加密技術和安全措施被用來保護玩家的資料和交易,從而確保一個安全可靠的遊戲環境。

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    總之,2024年的娛樂城呈現出一個高度融合了技術、安全和負責任賭博的行業新面貌,為玩家提供了前所未有的娛樂體驗。隨著這些趨勢的持續發展,我們可以預見,娛樂城將不斷地創新和進步,為玩家帶來更多精彩和安全的娛樂選擇。

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  93. 民意調查是什麼?民調什麼意思?
    民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗,簡稱民調。一般而言,民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度,由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。

    目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介,對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣,利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀,且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
    以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性:

    抽樣:由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見,所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
    問卷設計:為了確保獲得可靠的結果,問卷必須經過精心設計,問題要清晰、不帶偏見,且易於理解。
    數據分析:收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等,以及更複雜的統計分析。
    多種用途:民意調查可以用於各種目的,包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
    限制:雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具,但它也有其限制。例如,樣本可能不完全代表目標人群,或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
    影響決策:民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
    透明度和誠實:為了維護調查的可信度,調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
    民調是怎麼調查的?
    民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求,以科學、系統與公正的資料,蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣),設計問卷題目後,以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價,利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法,來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法,藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。

    以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟:

    定義目標和目的:首先,調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法?還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率?
    設計問卷:根據調查目的,研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題,並避免導向性的語言。
    選擇樣本:因為通常不可能調查所有人,所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣,以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
    收集數據:有多種方法可以收集數據,如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
    數據分析:一旦數據被收集,研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析,得出結論或洞見。
    報告結果:分析完數據後,研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
    解釋誤差範圍:多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍,例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
    民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行,且使用科學的方法,那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差,因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。

    為什麼要做民調?
    民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣,以下是一些主要的動機:

    政策制定和評估:政府和政策制定者進行民調,以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策,以反映大眾的需求和意見。
    選舉和政治活動:政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位,了解哪些議題對選民最重要,以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
    市場研究:企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度,從而制定或調整市場策略。
    社會科學研究:學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征,以及其與行為的關係。
    公眾與媒體的期望:民調提供了一種方式,使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果,提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
    提供反饋和評估:無論是企業還是政府,都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果,並根據反饋進行改進。
    預測和趨勢分析:民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展,如選舉結果、市場需求等。
    教育和提高公眾意識:通過進行和公布民調,可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。

    民調可信嗎?
    民意調查的結果數據隨處可見,尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送,對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比,然而大家又信多少?

    在景美市場的訪問中,我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示,他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮,主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控,以符合特定政治目標。

    受訪者還提到,民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說,他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響,例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否,而不是單純依賴民調結果。

    從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是,大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度,並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。

  94. 民意調查是什麼?民調什麼意思?
    民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗,簡稱民調。一般而言,民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度,由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。

    目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介,對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣,利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀,且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
    以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性:

    抽樣:由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見,所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
    問卷設計:為了確保獲得可靠的結果,問卷必須經過精心設計,問題要清晰、不帶偏見,且易於理解。
    數據分析:收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等,以及更複雜的統計分析。
    多種用途:民意調查可以用於各種目的,包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
    限制:雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具,但它也有其限制。例如,樣本可能不完全代表目標人群,或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
    影響決策:民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
    透明度和誠實:為了維護調查的可信度,調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
    民調是怎麼調查的?
    民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求,以科學、系統與公正的資料,蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣),設計問卷題目後,以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價,利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法,來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法,藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。

    以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟:

    定義目標和目的:首先,調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法?還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率?
    設計問卷:根據調查目的,研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題,並避免導向性的語言。
    選擇樣本:因為通常不可能調查所有人,所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣,以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
    收集數據:有多種方法可以收集數據,如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
    數據分析:一旦數據被收集,研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析,得出結論或洞見。
    報告結果:分析完數據後,研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
    解釋誤差範圍:多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍,例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
    民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行,且使用科學的方法,那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差,因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。

    為什麼要做民調?
    民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣,以下是一些主要的動機:

    政策制定和評估:政府和政策制定者進行民調,以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策,以反映大眾的需求和意見。
    選舉和政治活動:政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位,了解哪些議題對選民最重要,以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
    市場研究:企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度,從而制定或調整市場策略。
    社會科學研究:學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征,以及其與行為的關係。
    公眾與媒體的期望:民調提供了一種方式,使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果,提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
    提供反饋和評估:無論是企業還是政府,都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果,並根據反饋進行改進。
    預測和趨勢分析:民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展,如選舉結果、市場需求等。
    教育和提高公眾意識:通過進行和公布民調,可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。

    民調可信嗎?
    民意調查的結果數據隨處可見,尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送,對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比,然而大家又信多少?

    在景美市場的訪問中,我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示,他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮,主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控,以符合特定政治目標。

    受訪者還提到,民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說,他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響,例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否,而不是單純依賴民調結果。

    從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是,大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度,並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。

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